I also believe the 4-year crypto cycle is dead. There's absolutely no reason to assume this lenght will continue. The Bitcoin halving was the trigger and 'built-in mechanism' for this to play out. But, since the $BTC halving has no impact anymore because of the low circulation change and the huge volume, I think it doesn't stand anymore. Longer cycles would also fit better in a mature market, which we are nearing to become. Also I think there will be a macro top for all financial markets near the midterms of next year in November. I believe Republicans will lose and not get anything significant done anymore. This will make the markets uncertain and shaky. Combine that with the fragile economic state of many countries (including USA) and we might see a multi-year macro top then. And I think this will also apply to crypto. At least for a while. After that crypto will do its own thing again and really start playing a role as a mature hedge against stocks, other currencies, etc. But that might take a while and thus a longer cycle will unfold.